Friday, February 19, 2010

10 – 15% Fraudulent Votes for May 2010

Doy Cinco

Ipinapalagay na mawawala na raw ang papel ng tao (human factor-social technology) sa poll automated election. Sa pamamagitan ng electronic transmission, tuluyan na raw na mabubura ang nakagawiang dagdag-bawas / hello garci operation. Kaya lang, nananatiling buluk at mababa ang credibility ng Comelec. Ano mang positibong anunsyong gawin, parang walang naniniwala. Sapagkat, ang realidad sa ground, kasabwat ang ilang opisyal ng ahensya, nagsisimula na ang bilihan, dayaan at patayan.

Bukud sa lumalalang election violence, inaamin ng Comelec na malamang may 30% mga lugar (liblib) ang mananatiling manu-mano bunsod ng kawalang signal sa transmission. Inaasahang maraming pang critical na scenario ang lilitaw, tulad na lamang ng usaping source code at pag-imprenta ng balota.

Una sa lahat, hindi totoo ang "FAILURE of ELECTION" na pinangangambahan ng marami. Ang totoo, mayroong mahahalal na Presidente, Bise Presidente, 12 Senators, 200 plus Congressmen, Mrs Speaker of the House at libong Local Government officials. Kaya lang, magkakaroon ng malawakang DIS-ENFRANCHISEMENT na translatable sa 10-15 % fraudulents votes sa bilangan at canvassing.(larawan: Comelec Commissioner Melo cache.daylife.com/.../09g4am71pZ7Ee/610x.jpg)

Dalawang klase ang dayaan, ang tingi-tingi sa presinto at pakyawang dayaan sa maraming bayan at ilang probinsya. Aasahan ang "pre-shading sa balota," meaning, ilang oras o araw bago magstart ang botohan isasagawa ang (pre-shading) operations sa hindi magagamit na balota; Kasama rin ang karaniwang "based vote denial" sa mga tukoy na kalaban sa pultika. Sa ganitong modus operandi, mahihirapang ma-detect ang dayaan; Ang inaasahang "mababang turn-out (+/- 60 %) ang siya namang paborable sa dagdag/dagdag operations sa buong kapuluan."

Guguluhin ang Listahan ng botante sa araw ng election lalo na sa mga identified na balwarte ng kaaway na talamak ang private armies. Tulad ng dating nakagawian, magpapasok (bailwick) at magbabawas o dili kaya'y ililipat-lipat sa ibang clustered precint ang mga pangalan ng botante (enemy votes) sa ipapaskel na "authentic na Listahan ng Botante;" Bunsod ng kawalan na ng votes appreciation sa poll auto, ang classic na lansaderang paraan ay muling bubuhayin sa pakikipagsabwatan sa Board of Election Inspector (BEI).

Ganun paman, si Villar na itinuturing pinakamayaman kandidato ay hindi makapapayag na matapyasan ng boto ng mga operador ng administrasyon. Sa layuning makatabla o makiparte, hindi mahirap paniwalaang paglalaanan ni Villar ng bilyong pisong “VOTE PROTECTION STRATEGY” ang Araw ng Election.

Ang “Lola ng mga Dayaan” ay walang dudang poproyektuhin ng administrasyon Arroyo't kanyang mga galamay sa Comelec- Election Officers (EOs) at local machineries. Sila ang may kakayahan, may track records, capabilities-capacities at resources upang makapandaya. maulit ang 2004 presidential election at higit sa lahat, "mailigtas sa kasong pandarambong matapos mahalal ang kaaway na presidentiable bet na si Noynoy Aquino ng LP." Sa layuning maipanalo ang mahigit 70 Lakas-KAMPI CMD candidates sa congressional district sa bansa, Partylist, ilan bilang na NPC at NP, maitatalaga bilang Mrs. Speaker of the House sa 15th Congress ang ex-president PGMA, ang pwestong iniwan ni JdV at ni Nograles. (larawan: PGMA sa kaliwa)

Ang 10 – 15 % fraudulent votes ay katumbas na bilang na 3.0 milyong + boto, sa 60 % voters TURN OUT (30.0 million - estimate). Para hindi gaanong halata, kokontrolin at ikakalat sa maraming probinsya at municipalities ang 15%; mga dating suking lugar sa Ilocos at Cagayan Valley Region, ilang piling probinsya sa Central Luzon, Southern Tagalog-Bicol areas, Eastern Visayas, CEBU, Negros Occ, ARMM at ilang liblib na probinsya ng Mindanao, mga lugar na "kontrolado ng mga political Clan, warlords, Lakas-KAMPI - NPC, Nacionalista Party at iba pang trapong kandidato."

Kung ang bilihan ay maglalaro sa minimum na 1 boto = P20.00, ang 3,000,000 fraudulent votes na idedeliver ng mga EOs sa administration candidates at sa may perang presidentiable ay aabot ng mahigit kumulang na P60 - 500.0 million. Mas mura at matipid kung ikukumpara sa AIR WAR political Ad, postering at pulyeto. Hiwalay pa sa gastusin ang iba't-bang porma ng VOTE BUYING ng mga kandidato na posibleng umabot ng ilang bilyong piso.

Malaki rin ang kinita ng mga sindikato sa Comelec noong panahon ng Party List accreditation. Para ma-accredit, naglalaro sa P4 - 6.0 million ang accreditation TONG fee, ang lagayan sa loob. Sa ganitong siste, tinatantyang kumita ng mahigit kumulang na isang daang milyon piso ang mga sindikato sa Comelec kaparte't kasabwat ang makapangyarihang special operation groups ng Malakanyang. (Sa baba; larawang kahawig ng Computerized Voter's List)

Nagbebenta rin ng “Project of Precints o Computerized Voters List” ang mga Election Officers. Sa presyong nasa pagitan ng P10 - 50,000.00 (CD form), kikita ng mahigit dalawampung milyong piso (P20.00 million) ang mga sindikato sa loob ng Comelec. Nakakalungkot isipin na pati public document ng gubyerno ay kinakalakal ng mga tiwaling opisyal sa Comelec. Ang Voter's List ay dapat transparency, naka-post sa Comelec Website at ito'y dapat libreng ipinamimigay sa madla.

Ang DIS-ENFRANCHICEMENT operation at pananabotahe ng eleksyon na iooperasyunalisa ng administrasyon Arroyo at pakikinabangan ng isang presidentiable candidate (Villar) ay lubhang makaka-apekto sa WINNING MARGIN ng sino mang nakalalamang na presidentiable candidates (Noynoy Aquino).

Naniniwala ang marami na "manual man ito o automated, mananatiling hindi parehas at madaya ang eleksyon, mananatiling magulo at ‘di kapani-paniwala sa marami ang eleksyon at mananatili ang mahalagang papel ng mamamayan para ipagtanggol at maproteksyunan ang kasagraduhan ng halalan para sa pagbabago at demokrasya.”

Related Story:

"Proclaim winners first before manual audit--Comelec" : http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/nation/view/20100224-255134/Proclaim-winners-first-before-manual-audit--Comelec

"Manual count set for 30% of precincts if machines fail" : http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/inquirerheadlines/nation/view/20100128-249863/Manual


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