Tuesday, October 02, 2012

“Makapangyarihang Padrino't Angkan” sa 2013 election


DEMOKRASYA,  NALAGAY sa ALANGANIN 


Habang nag-iintensify ang isyu ng "libel provision ng Cybercrime law,"  dedma at di alintana ang mundo ng pulitika, fiesta't zarzuella mood ang araw ng filling of certificate of candidadacy para sa 2013 midterm election.   Iprinoklama ng magkabilang kampo, LP-NUP at  United Nationalist Alliance-UNA at  tinaas ang mga kamay ni Pnoy at ng Big 3 (Enrile, Erap at Binay) ang kani-kanilang mga mamanuking senatoriable candidates.

Mga dati’t mga recycled na pulitiko,  magkakapatid, mag-ama at mga anak ng beteranong pulitiko ang halos bumubuo ng 2013 senatoriable candidates.   Dahil raw sa “winnability factor,   pina-atras"  ang tatlo (3) sa Liberal Party (LP) at isa sa UNA habang pinoproblema naman ang tatlong (3) “guest o adopted candidates,”   kung saang entablado raw ito tutungtung at mamamangka.

Upang maisalansan ang linyada at maging kombinyente sa bawat isa,  binuhay muli  ang “koalisyon.”   Binubuo ng mahigit pitong (7)  naghihingalo’t halos  non-functional na partido ang "koalisyon."   Binuo hindi dahil sa "ideological principles – may vision, mission at  direksyong pulitikal ng ating bansa" bagkus sa oryentasyong “personal, barkadahan,  pagpapalakas ng kahariang kontrol ng angkan  at buhay na PATRON na may kanya-kanyang agenda at  interest. ”

Nagkatutuo ang kutub ng marami na ang nalalapit na 2013 election  ay "labanan ng mga personalities,  labanan ng mga malalaking  angkang politikal (political clan)" at labanan "kung sino ang may tunay na koneksyon, masisilungang  padrino at malapit sa kusina ng palasyo?” 

Ayon sa tagapagsalita ng Malakanyang,  “isang referendum o  hatol ng bayan daw sa administrasyon ni Pnoy ang 2013 midterm election.”   Kung baga,  “labanan daw ito kung kontra ka  o kakampi ka ni PNOY.”   Para palamnan ng mas konstruktibong diskurso,    “labanan daw ito kung sang-ayon ka  o  disgusto ka sa reform agenda ng kasalukuyang administrasyon.”

Ang “ gumagandang ekonomiya, tiwala ng puhunan at publiko” raw ang pangtapat ni PNOY sa mga kalaban.  Kaya lang, ang kakatwang tanong ng marami,   "sino ba ang kalaban ni Pnoy?  Suportado rin ng  Big 3 ang reporma at adhikain ng administrasyon ni Pnoy."   Ang dilenma ng UNA ay ang kanyang identity.   Hindi maiiwasan ang kantsawang, “sino ba kayo,  oposisyon, collaborator  o  alyado ng kasalukuyang administrasyon?”  Sa kabila nito,  mataas ang kumpiyansa ng magkabilang kampo na walo (8) raw sa panig nila  ang "kaya nilang ipanalo."

Kumplikado at magiging magastos ang kampanya. Tinatayang may minimum na "P200.0 hanggang P800.0  milyon ang  warchest ng bawat isang seryosong kandidato  para makuha ang 15.0 - 20.0 million winning votes,"  kahit nasa “top 20 sa survey,”   kilala at  may name recall.  Ang padrino ang inaasahang panggagalingan ng malaking bulto (50-75%)  ng campaign funds (private, corporate, illegal), habang ang  natitirang  bahagi  ay siya namang babalikatin ng kanya-kanyang angkan.  Muling babaha ng pera,   magtri-trickle down effect, milyong trabaho ang maililikha at kahit paano,  pansamantalang lalago ang ekonomiya ng bansa.(Left photo, courtesy; mindanaocross.net)

Kumbinasyong Air war -  mainstream media (radio at TV), social media,  local machinery, personal network, vote denial and conversion, mistulang karnabal at zarzuela ang magiging porma’t estratehiya  ng labanan.  Bukud sa “pagkukumpara at track records,”  magiging karaniwang paraan ang "special ops;  junking-trayduran, demolition job, pananakot at political violence."

Maliban sa vote protection, personal endorsement at sample ballot,   "walang aasahang pondong manggagaling sa koalisyon, lalo na sa mga pekeng partido na kabilang sa mga koalisyon." Kanya-kanyang diskarte't pangangalap ng pondo,  kanya-kanyang mga campaign sorties sa lokal (LGUs) at kanya-kanyang pagtatayo ng campaign machinery ang magiging takbo ng labanan."

Ang tanong ng marami,  sino ang makikinabang at  sino ang talo at panalo sa 2013 midterm election?  Siguradong panalo at gaganansya  sa 2013 ang PADRINO, ang pamilya’t angkan,  ang campaign donors at sponsor, ang mga campaign managers, operators,  entertainers,  ang mga na-ambunan ng vote buying operation at higit sa lahat,  ang mainstream media.

Sino ang talo?  Ang mamamayang Pilipino,  ang accountability at transparency,  ang rule of law at Constitution,  ang  repormang isinusulong ng administrasyon at higit sa lahat,  ang DEMOKRASYA.

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